Wednesday, June 8, 2011

Stock Market Flash on Sun Pharma for 4QFY2011


4QFY2011 Financials Snapshot:   
                                                                   
(`cr)
4QFY2011
3QFY2011
% chg
qoq
4QFY2010
% chg
yoy
Net sales
1,463
1,601
(8.6)
1,080
35.5
Other income
111
58
90.9
14
707.4
Gross profit
1,150
1,169
(1.6)
814
41.3
Operating profit
444
441
0.7
419
6.0
Net profit
443
350
26.4
394
12.2

4QFY2011 Financials Actual V/s Estimates :

`cr
Actual
Estimates
Var(%)
Net sales
1,463
1,412
3.6
Other income
111
71
55.5
Operating profit
444
400
10.8
Tax
2
51
(95.6)
Adj net profit
443
331
33.9


4QFY2011 Consolidated Financial Result Highlights-  

·         The Net Sales for the quarter under review for the company stood at `1,463cr (`1,081cr) an increase of 35.5% yoy, higher than our estimates of `1412cr majorly led by the higher than expected exports at `869cr (`494cr), increase of 75.7% during the quarter. The formulation segment on the export front clocked a robust growth of 98.5% yoy at `776cr (`391cr).
·         The Net sales for Taro for Jan-Mar 2011 is at US$107.7 million, a growth of 21% yoy. The net profit for the quarter is at US$ 25.7 million, higher by 199% when compared to the same quarter last year.
·         The domestic formulations sales came in at `588.7cr (`489.8cr) increase of 20.2% yoy.
·         The company reported gross margins higher than our estimates at 78.6% (76%) for the quarter. However, the employee and other expenses grew by 119% yoy to `254cr (`116cr) and 61.9% yoy to `453cr (`279.5cr) respectively. As a result the OPM contracted to 30.3% (38.7%).
·         The Net profit came in at `504cr (`392cr), growth of 28.7% yoy. The adjusted net profit grew by 12.2% yoy at `443cr (`394cr), higher than our estimate of `331cr.
·         For the full year, the net sales increased by 42.8% yoy to `5,72cr (`4,007cr). The adjusted net profit grew by 34.4% yoy to `1,816cr (`1,351cr).
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4QFY2011 Consolidated Financial Performance:

Y/E March (`cr)
4QFY2011
3QFY2011
% chg
qoq
4QFY2010
% chg yoy
FY2011
FY2010
% chg yoy
Net sales
1,463
1,601
(8.6)
1,080
35.5
5,721
4,007
42.8
Other income
110.8
58.0
90.9
13.7
707.4
272.7
205.3
32.8
Total income
1,574
1,659

1,094
43.9
5,994
4,213
42.3
Gross profit
1,150
1,169
(1.6)
814
41.3
4,261
2,910
46.44
Gross margin (%)
78.6
73.0

75.4

74.5
72.6

Operating profit
444
441
0.7
419
6.0
1,967
1,363
44.3
Operating margin (%)
30.3
27.5

38.7

34.4
34.0

Interest
0
0
-
0

0
0
-
Depreciation
48
80
(40.1)
42
14.9
204
153
33.1
PBT
506
418
21.1
390
29.7
2,036
1,415
43.9
Provision for taxation
2
54
(95.9)
(1)
(277.8)
128
68
89.3
PAT before extra-ordinary item
504
364
38.6
392
28.7
1,907
1,347
41.6
Minority interest(MI)
(61)
(13)
-
3
-
(91)
4

Extraordinary item
0
0

0

0
0

PAT after extra-ordinary item & MI
443
350
26.4
394
12.2
1,816
1,351
34.4
EPS (`)
4.3
3.4

3.8

17.5
13.0


 
At CMP, the stock is currently trading at 22.7x FY2012E and 18.5x FY2013E earnings. We would revise our estimates post the interaction with the management.
Key financials:
Valuation Summary





Y/E March (`cr)
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011E
FY2012E
FY2013E
Net sales
4,273
4,103
5,721
7,627
9,550
% chg
27.3
(4.0)
39.4
33.3
25.2
Net profit
1,818
1,351
1,816
2,030
2,492
% chg
20.7
(25.7)
34.4
11.8
22.7
EPS (`)
17.6
13.0
17.5
19.6
24.1
EBITDA Margin (%)
43.6
33.2
34.4
29.1
29.8
P/E (x)
25.4
34.1
25.4
22.7
18.5
RoE (%)
30.2
17.8
19.3
19.9
20.8
RoCE (%)
27.4
15.3
18.3
19.0
21.1
P/BV (x)
6.5
5.7
4.9
4.2
3.6
EV/Sales (x)
10.4
10.7
7.7
5.8
4.5
EV/EBITDA (x)
23.9
32.3
23.9
19.8
15.2

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